This season blended with last season, junk games removed, injury adjusted, then priced against the line.
⚡ AUTO-LOAD FROM ESPN
Pick a sport, click Today (or pick another date), then pick a matchup. Slate date = which day's games to price. Look-back = how many recent games count as "this season." Every team always gets at least its last 2 games — if this season has fewer, the newest games from last season fill in.
AWAY
THIS SEASON
LAST SEASON (PRIOR)
ADJUSTMENTS
HOME
THIS SEASON
LAST SEASON (PRIOR)
ADJUSTMENTS
THE LINE
MODEL SETTINGS (auto-set by sport)
AWAY GAME LOG
HOME GAME LOG
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PROJECTED TOTAL
STEP 1
HYBRID BLEND
STEP 2
PROJECTED SCORE
STEP 3
GAME SCRIPT
STEP 4
PLAUSIBILITY
UNDER outcomesOVER outcomesPUSH (whole-number lines)The lineProjected total
PICK LOG
DATE
SPORT
GAME
PICK
PROJ
WIN%
EDGE
FINAL TOTAL
RESULT
Saved in this browser only (works across every copy of this file in Chrome). PASS calls are logged grey and don't count in the record. Units: 1 unit risked per pick at the logged odds.
How it works: each team's offense and defense = last season + w × (this season − last season), with w = games ÷ (games + k).
Two projections are averaged: Average (offense and the opponent’s defense averaged) and Additive (offense + opponent’s defense − league average). The home edge is split ±half. Injury adjustments apply to the final team score. The projection is blended with the market total, then priced using a normal curve, with push handling on whole-number lines.
Typing a team name only labels the card — enter the numbers yourself.
Projections are statistical estimates, not guarantees. For information and entertainment only — not financial advice. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 1-800-GAMBLER.